Asking the wrong crowd: Brazil’s polls, ‘Verity’ reviews and a Reuters oil-price survey may have missed the people who make the final call

Lula had polled slightly ahead, but Flávio Bolsonaro won the first round of Brazil’s presidential election Sunday, forcing an Oct. 25 runoff. “Verity” opened at No. 1 with an estimated $32.6 million despite a 33% Rotten Tomatoes critics’ score. Saudi Aramco set its November Arab Light price for Asia $3 below October’s; a Reuters survey had expected a $3 increase. Read together, they may show that an advance reading is only as good as its overlap with the people who actually decide.

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